It is
possible that you fretted all through May and June as the domestic stock market
gyrated between gains and losses in response to various global cues. But at the
end of the day, Dalal Street ended the June quarter as Asia's best performer.
That,
despite the Brexit vote almost bringing Dalal Street down on its knees and when
concerns over a possible rate hike by the US Fed haunted stock markets globally
all through the quarter.
What seems to have helped the domestic market
were improving macros, supportive monsoon forecast and a slew of reforms,
including the GST, which helped calm investor nerves on Dalal Street.
The BSE
Sensex ended the quarter with a 6.54 per cent gain, the biggest for the 30-pack
index since its 14 per cent rally in the June quarter of calendar 2014.
This
compares with a 7.05 per cent slump in the Japanese Nikkei, which reeled amid
concerns over slowing of exports and a rise in the yen against the US dollar.
European indices such as Italy's IBEX 35, France's CAC40 and Germany's DAX
dipped 6.4 per cent, 3.36 per cent and 2.86 per cent, respectively, during this
period, thanks to tepid growth and absence of any stimulus from the European
Central Bank (ECB).
Sensex's Asian peer Shanghai Composite declined 2.47 per cent
during the quarter, while Korea's Kospi and Taiwan's TWSE index fell 1.27 per
cent and 0.90 per cent, respectively. Markets bled amid concerns that political
risks globally may trigger risk-off trade, leading to a selloff by emerging
market funds.
But despite last week's steep fall, the UK's
FTSE100 surged 5.33 per cent during the June quarter, while Brazil's Bovespa
rose 2.94 per cent and US' Dow Jones 2.94 per cent.
Market watchers said inflow from institutional
investors remained strong during the quarter owing to an improved
macro-economic outlook. They were quick to note that the domestic market showed
immense 'maturity' in dealing with the external headwinds.
"Over
the next 6 to 12 months, India is going to be a better place relatively as
growth is going to be scarce everywhere else. The world has been struggling to
grow and that is why India will stand out. The growth momentum is picking up in
India, and as we move into the end of the calendar, then into the next year, we
will see more visible signs that growth is coming back," said Jyotivardhan
Jaipuria, Veda Investment Managers.
Frankly,
I would love to be in India today, rather than in London. I think the stock
market is looking extremely interesting. It is never the cheapest market in the
emerging markets, but if you separate the fact that Brexit could easily lead to
a global recession, it will not be great for commodity producers, but for
countries like India."
The
June quarter saw DIIs buying Rs 3,712 crore worth of stocks. This was against a
Rs 21,143 crore share purchase they did in the March quarter and an outflow of
Rs 3,344 crore that they witnessed in the year-ago quarter. FPI flows, on the
other hand, improved for the fourth consecutive quarter. The flows stood at Rs
14,671 crore, which were higher than Rs 4,495 crore inflow recorded in the
March quarter and Rs 2,608 crore reported for the year-ago quarter
"I
would be surprised if we do not get a better share of FII flows in the Indian
equity market. India will keep attracting perhaps an inordinate amount of FII
flows,"
SOURCE(ET MARKET)